New rules of war — what Trump's victory will change for Ukraine

Trump for Ukraine: what will change the election of a new president in the US?
Newly elected US President Donald Trump. Photo: ANDREW HARNIK/ASSOCIATED PRESS

Republican Donald Trump will return to the White House for the second time in January next year. During his victory speech, he claimed that he was going to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours of taking office. However, experts note that it will not be possible to achieve this so quickly, because not everything depends only on him. In addition, the course of hostilities can change significantly in two months, like the rhetoric of the US leader.

Trump's election will change Ukraine globally, journalists of Novyny.LIVE asked Anatoliy Boyko, the head of the Odesa regional organization "Voters' Committee".

Trump's policy

According to the expert, Trump's style is very different from Biden's, because the newly elected president is more inclined to make radical decisions. However, he adds that these decisions may not always be useful for Ukraine.

"The only thing we can be sure of is that in any case, European countries will now be forced to take more responsibility for security in Europe. The Poles are the loudest about claiming this, saying that it is time to take everything into their own hands,"Anatoliy Boyko says.

Голова Одеської обласної організації "Комітет виборців" Анатолій Бойко. Фото: Новини.LIVE/ Юлія Браславська
Head of the Odesa regional organization "Voters' Committee" Anatoliy Boyko. Photo: Novyny.LIVE/ Yulia Braslavska

At the same time, even the worst scenarios for Ukraine cannot foresee that Trump's and Putin's visions of the war in Ukraine will coincide. And as a result, everything will depend on whose side the initiative will be.

Ukraine in the future

However, our country will definitely not remain in a losing situation, because neither Trump nor Europe will "leave Ukraine the center of instability", where the rules are dictated by the Russian Federation, especially when it comes to the destruction of an entire nation.

"There is a limit acceptable to the West to what Putin can do. Therefore, all his plans will definitely not come true. Putin wants the destruction of Ukraine as a state. And this is definitely not in the interests of the US and Europe. They have different approaches to ending the war," Mr. Boyko adds.

Анатолій Бойко про прогнози для України. Фото: Новини.LIVE/ Юлія Браславська 
Anatoliy Boyko about the forecasts for Ukraine. Photo: Novyny.LIVE/ Yulia Braslavska

Ending the war in Ukraine

Currently, there is really only one person who can end the war in one day. And that is the Russian dictator Vladimir Putin. However, he remains the only one through whom the war is still going on. Therefore, Trump will first need to persuade him to negotiate.

"It will be necessary to find arguments for Putin to sit down at the negotiating table. And not negotiations' imitation, but real ones, which will result in the signing of the relevant documents. And the Ukrainian side will be happy to sit down for it anyway, if the conditions are acceptable to us. I do not think that anyone will force us to sign some kind of peace agreement," the expert notes.

Security guarantees for Ukraine

In addition, after signing peace agreement, a significant moment for Ukraine is security guarantees. Moreover, they should be impressive enough, so that there are no attempts to start a conflict again on our territory. And these guarantees should be given by both European partners and the United States.

"If Western states guarantee our security, they guarantee the modernization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the development of our military and economic potential. If we are accepted into NATO, into the EU, I do not see a problem in our postponing the return of our territories for some time. Not giving them away, not recognizing them, but postponing them, taking into account the events and circumstances in which we are," Anatoliy Boyko says.

Експерт про гарантії безпеки. Фото: Новини.LIVE/ Юлія Браславська
Expert about security guarantees. Photo: Novyny.LIVE/ Yulia Braslavska

In general, it is difficult to predict what Trump will be like. In any case, Ukrainians should count on the Armed Forces of Ukraine and help them with everything they need. After all, the more combat-ready the army is, the more invincible it is.

Let us remind you that Trump may appoint a special representative for peace in Ukraine, who will negotiate with Russia.

In addition, the Joe Biden administration will increase support for Ukraine before the inauguration of Donald Trump.

США Одеса вибори Дональд Трамп politicians Новини Одеси war in Ukraine war